The Caucasian Review of International Affairs, Vol. 2 (1) 2008

The Winter 2008 issue of the Caucasian Review of International Affairs (CRIA), Vol. 2 (1), is available online at http://www.cria-online.org

Contents:

Note from the Editor-in-Chief (http://cria-online.org/j2_1.php)

The Three Colors of War: Russian, Turkish, and Iranian Military Threat to the South Caucasus, by Lasha Tchantouridzé (http://cria-online.org/j2_2.php)

Nagorno-Karabakh: basis and reality of Soviet-era legal and economic claims used to justify the Armenia-Azerbaijan war, by Adil Baguirov (http://cria-online.org/j2_3.php)

Russia, Iran, and the Conflict in Chechnya, by Martin Malek (http://cria-online.org/j2_4.php)

Iran’s Strategy in the South Caucasus, by Kaweh Sadegh-Zadeh (http://cria-online.org/j2_5.php)

The Russian Defense Reform and its Limitations, by Andrew Liaropoulos (http://cria-online.org/j2_6.php)

NATO cooperation towards South Caucasus, by Alberto Priego (http://cria-online.org/j2_7.php)

Interview with Kevin T. Ryan, Harvard University (http://cria-online.org/j2_8.php)

Book Review, by Pierre-Emmanuel Dupont (http://cria-online.org/j2_9.php)

The CRIA is a Germany-based quarterly peer-reviewed free, non-profit and online academic journal. The Review is committed to promote a better understanding of the regional affairs by providing relevant background information and analysis, as far as the Caucasus in general, and the South Caucasus in particular are concerned. The CRIA also welcomes lucid, well-documented papers on all aspects of international affairs, from all political viewpoints.
The deadline for submission of papers for the next Spring issue is the 31st of March 2008. Manuscript guidelines can be found at http://cria-online.org/submit.php

“A radical overhaul of NATO”

According to the International Herald Tribune (January 31, 2008), a group of former senior officers has called for a radical overhaul of NATO, which they say is paralyzed by cumbersome decision-making rules, inequitable funding arrangements and an inability to sustain long-term missions.

The officers’ 152-page report, “Toward a Grand Strategy for an Uncertain World,” sponsored by the Center for Strategic and International Studies (CSIS), attempts, according to the author of the article, ”to analyze why NATO has not completed the transformation from a Cold War organization to one capable of dealing with threats and conflicts in the 21st century” (see full article).

UN fails to reach agreement on Gaza statement

According to RIA Novosti (29 January 2008), “the UN Security Council failed to reach an agreement on a Gaza statement due to differences between the U.S. and Arab nations, Russia’s UN envoy said after negotiations on Tuesday. “Unfortunately, the Security Council failed to reach a consensus. Today, before the negotiations began, during a meeting between a permanent representative from Libya and deputy permanent representative from the U.S. a conclusion was made that it would be impossible to reach an agreement due to the latest amendments to the text,” Vitaly Churkin said (see full article).

New SIPRI Publication: Reforming Nuclear Export Controls: The Future of the Nuclear Suppliers Group

Reforming Nuclear Export Controls: The Future of the Nuclear Suppliers Group by Ian Anthony, Christer Ahlström and Vitaly Fedchenko examines the structure and activities of the Nuclear Suppliers Group (NSG), a body of 45 states committed to applying effective controls on exports of an agreed set of nuclear materials and technologies. The book, published by Oxford University Press, is also available as a free download on the SIPRI website. 

Tehran hopes new UN sanctions against Iran will be shelved

TEHRAN, January 26 (RIA Novosti) – Iran is hoping that the UN Security Council will not adopt a new resolution on sanctions against the Islamic Republic over its controversial nuclear program, the foreign minister said on Saturday. The five permanent UN Security Council members and Germany agreed January 22 at talks in Berlin on a draft for new measures against the Islamic Republic, strengthening two previous rounds of sanctions but falling short of the punitive steps proposed by Washington. The draft may be submitted to the Security Council as early as the next week… (read full article).

SEE ALSO the Letter from H.E. Dr. Mottaki, Foreign Minister of the Islamic Republic of Iran addressed to the UN Secretary General and presidents of the Security Council and the General Assembly on Iran’s cooperation with the IAEA (30 November 2007)

Photo from RIA Novosti

Ukraine applies for membership in NATO

Ukrainian Foreign Minister, on an official visit to Brussels, conveyed a letter to NATO Secretary General Jaap de Hoop Scheffer, signed by Ukrainian leaders, on Ukraine’s bid to join the NATO Membership Action Plan. The NATO Secretary General promised to inform the Alliance members about the document (See full text on the website of the official Ukrainian news agency Ukrinform). 

EU and Ukraine agree terms for Ukrainian WTO accession

On 16 January 2008, according to the EUROPA website, the European Union and Ukraine resolved the final outstanding issues in their discussions on Ukraine’s accession to the WTO. At a meeting in London, EU Trade Commissioner Peter Mandelson and Ukrainian Vice Prime Minister Hryhory Nemyrya sealed the final terms of the agreement. The agreement clears the way for the final approval by WTO members of the terms of Ukraine’s accession. Following ratification of the accession agreements, Ukraine will become a member of the WTO. The agreement also clears the path for an EU-Ukraine FTA (see full text).

The 15th International Conference on Central Asia and Caucasus in Tehran

The Iranian Institute for Political and International Studies (IPIS) presents a report on the Fifteenth ‘International Conference on Central Asia and Caucasus’ which was held this year in Tehran with the theme of “Expansion of NATO to Eurasia: Dimensions & Consequences” on 29-30 October 2007. 45 foreign and Iranian scholars presented their papers in six sessions focusing on themes such as “The Causes & Objectives of NATO Expansion to Eurasia”, “The Dimensions & Consequences of NATO Expansion to Central Asia & Afghanistan”, “The Political-Security Dimensions & Consequences of NATO Expansion in the South Caucasus Region”, “NATO Expansion to the East: Threats & Opportunities”, “NATO Expansion to Eurasia: The Viewpoints of the Islamic Republic of Iran & Other Countries of the Region”.

In the end, Dr. Seyed Rasoul Mousavi, Director General of the IPIS, made the following conclusions:

1.        According to the United Nations Charter, the primary responsibility of maintaining peace and security is with the Security Council and this issue has been stressed upon in the NATO statute. Therefore, NATO measures outside this framework and its current efforts for substituting the United Nations are totally illegitimate and unacceptable.

2.        As the bearer of Western Liberal Democracy values, NATO’s attempts to change the political, cultural, social and economic patterns in third party countries, contradicts with the existing local and regional structures in those countries and will lead to instability and insecurity. National and regional resistance against this kind of change will cause clash of values and cultural conflict and will eventually result in exacerbating hostility and insecurity.

3.        The Islamic Republic of Iran believes injecting disparate models with different political and social contexts in the Central Asia region, Caucasus and the Persian Gulf will not result in anything other than instability and insecurity for the region and the whole world. These models should be stemmed from within the region and derived by the pivotal and effective players of the region itself.

4.        The Islamic Republic of Iran considers that artificial manipulation in the regional security systems will cause instability in the region and as a result in the whole international security system. Therefore, the regional security systems should be localized in compliance with the needs of the region and on the basis of strengthening mutual confidence among the countries of the region. By nature, regional systems formed on realities of the region and the genuine role and position of its countries, can contribute to the stability and security of the total international system through establishing connections and cooperation with other regional systems.

5.        We believe in the world today, confronting new threats will merely be possible through collective efforts, cooperation and dialogue among the members of the international community. However the components and elements of this collaboration cannot be based upon perceptions, needs, interests, wills and sometimes ambitions of a certain member or a group of members. (The Islamic Republic of Iran appreciates any realistic approach in the west towards the developments and security issues of the region especially the reports of NATO’s parliamentary assembly concerning Iran.)

6.        As a premier power in the region, the Islamic Republic of Iran possesses good relations with its neighbors and according to its principled policies to strengthen stability and security in the region, negotiates mutually and multilaterally with the countries of the region and has suggested specific arrangements in this respect. Indeed any process aimed at the interests of the region, derived from, and complying with the needs of the region would be considerable for Iran.

7.        The Islamic Republic of Iran warns deviation from the international community’s mission in Afghanistan and NATO measures in this country. Our preventive alerts to our western friends regarding the essence of Taliban and its extremist and adverse objectives were not taken into account in a timely manner until when the 11th September catastrophe happened. In order to resolve the problems of this country, we should turn to the roots. Drugs in Afghanistan – as the West itself admits – is a fertile base for the creation and cultivation of all kinds of threats and a source for nurturing terrorism. However the West unfortunately doesn’t have a clear record in this respect.

8.        It was expected that with the collapse of Taliban and beginning of a new era in the political life of Afghanistan, our western friends understand and realize the realities of Afghanistan and consequently try to prevent the repetition of history. Indeed no other means rather than recognizing the realities of Afghanistan will stop history from repeating and solve the problems of this country. In fact the memory of failure and withdrawal of the eastern superpower from the country has not faded out yet. Without this recognition, the prospect of Afghanistan can resemble a whirlpool which is certainly not in anyone’s interest – not us in the region, neither the ones overseas; this may eventually lead to accepting some scenarios in difficult times which result in ruining all the accomplishments made. Phrases and titles such as “Good Taliban” and “Bad Taliban” are artificial and false concepts. In this respect we hope our friendly advices be heard in an appropriate and timely manner.

9.        We consider the current turmoil of western arms in Afghanistan an outcome of wrong policies, and we note that projection of this issue on the Islamic Republic of Iran and accusing it in this case will not change the realities neither solve the problems.

10.    Terrorism is a fateful phenomenon and poses a threat to all countries. The Islamic Republic of Iran is a direct victim of terrorism in Afghanistan. If there would be any disregard or neglect in the fight against terror, double standards be employed or in any case the fundamental basis and real origins be ignored, every attempt would turn out to be counter-productive and we would be witnessing the spread of terrorism across the whole world. The images of the current situation indicates that self-centered and unilateral interpretations joined with hardware approaches towards terrorism are not effective and it would be necessary for other interpretations and analysis to be heard; in this respect the role and position of the Islamic Republic of Iran in the strategic region of Eurasia, the Persian Gulf and Middle East and their stability and security is nothing to be neglected and ignoring this reality will actually make any equation unrealistic.

Nuclear Trafficking Remains Global Priority (IAEA)

The illicit trafficking of nuclear material and the potential threat it poses continues to be an issue of international concern, while steps to establish effective technical and administrative systems to prevent the uncontrolled and unauthorised movement of nuclear and other radioactive materials must continue to be taken, delegates from 60 countries agreed at an IAEA-organized international conference in Edinburgh, Scotland.

Russia’s participation in the CFE Treaty suspended

President Vladimir Putin signed today a law suspending Russia’s participation in the Treaty on Conventional Forces in Europe.

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